21 Mar 2013

Assessment of Socio-Economic and Climate Change Effects

on Water Resources and Agriculture in Southern and Eastern Mediterranean countries

Consuelo Varela-Ortega / Paloma Esteve / Irene Blanco / Gema Carmona / Jorge Ruiz / Tamara Rabah

0
Download Publication

3147 Downloads

This study aims at assessing the socio-economic and environmental effects of different societal and human development scenarios and climate change in the water-scarce southern and eastern Mediterranean. The study develops a two-stage modelling methodology that includes an econometric analysis for the southern and eastern Mediterranean region as a whole and a detailed, integrated socio-ecological assessment focusing on Jordan, Syria and Morocco. The results show that water resources will be under increasing stress in future years. In spite of country differences, a future path of sustainable development is possible in the region. Water withdrawals could decrease, preserving renewable water resources and reversing the negative effects on agricultural production and rural society. This, however, requires a combination across the region of technical, managerial, economic, social and institutional changes that together foster a substantive structural change. A balanced implementation of water supply-enhancing and demand-management measures along with improved governance are key to attaining a cost-effective sustainable future in which economic growth, a population increase and trade expansion are compatible with the conservation of water resources.

Dr Consuelo Varela-Ortega is a Professor, Paloma Esteve is a PhD Research Assistant, Dr Irene Blanco is an Assistant Professor, Dr Gema Carmona is a Postdoctoral Research Assistant, Jorge Ruiz is a PhD Research Assistant, and Tamara Rabah is a PhD Research Assistant at the Technical University of Madrid (Universidad Politécnica de Madrid).

Related Publications

Browse through the list of related publications.

Barriers and enablers for implementing circular economy business models

Evidence from the electrical and electronic equipment and agri-food value chains

A tale of two prices

What higher energy costs and the ETS price mean for a just transition

Agriculture and Food: From Farm to Fork

Towards a Resilient and Sustainable Post-Pandemic Recovery Working Group Report of the New Industrial Strategy for Europe Task Force

European Green Deal

Towards a Resilient and Sustainable Post-Pandemic Recovery Working Group Report of the New Industrial Strategy for Europe Task Force

From coal to low carbon

Coal region development opportunities under EU Recovery programmes