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Turkey and the EU Budget: Prospects and Issues

by Kemal Derviş / Faik Öztrak / Yusuf Işık / Fırat Bayar / Daniel Gros
01 August 2004

Turkey and the EU Budget: Prospects and Issues

Kemal Derviş / Faik Öztrak / Yusuf Işık / Fırat Bayar / Daniel Gros

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When calculating the cost of Turkish membership for the incumbent members, one must appreciate that this process is highly speculative. Not only Turkey, but also the EU are evolving and changing constantly. In addition, one cannot know with certainty what the rules concerning the budget will be by the time of accession. Nevertheless, there are ways to – at least to some extent– to calculate the cost that Turkey as a fully integrated EU member would represent to the budget. The first possibility is to calculate what Turkey would receive under the Common Agricultural Policy and the Structural Funds, as a full member today. The second approach would be to calculate what the EU would have to pay by a likely accession date such as 2015, under current rules. In this context, one should not ignore transitional arrangements such as PHARE and other pre-accession programmes that Romania and Bulgaria already benefit from. Although we are aware of the fact that the elaborated numbers may be altered, one may say that net transfers would have a significant impact in Turkey, while being a manageable amount for the EU budget.


About the Authors


  • Author
    Kemal Derviş
    Kemal Derviş
  • Author
    Faik Öztrak
    Faik Öztrak
  • Author
    Yusuf Işık
    Yusuf Işık
  • Author
    Fırat Bayar
    Fırat Bayar
  • Author
    Daniel Gros Daniel Gros
    Daniel Gros
Turkey and the EU Budget: Prospects and Issues
Download Publication

2058 Downloads