21 Dec 2012

Why is the Greek economy collapsing? A simple tale of high multipliers and low exports

Cinzia Alcidi / Daniel Gros

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In an attempt to understand why the Greek economy is collapsing, this Commentary points out two key aspects that are often overlooked – the country’s large multiplier and a bad export performance. When combined with the need for a large fiscal adjustment, these factors help explain how fiscal consolidation in Greece has been associated with such a large drop in GDP.

Cinzia Alcidi is LUISS Research Fellow at CEPS and Daniel Gros is Director of CEPS.