16 Oct 2014

The ‘Unknown Knowns’ of the Global Gas Market

Paolo Natali

Download Publication


Energy markets evolve at least as quickly as the economies they fuel. But development unfolds at an irregular pace, with starts and stops often precipitated by seemingly unpredictable dynamics. Is it really impossible to forecast these ‘revolutions’, if the past can be seen as prologue? The answer might be in the way we look at future events; even if we accept that some events are unpredictable, we may be able to infer much more about the future trends through a broader reading of available data, thus revealing ‘unknown knowns’ that may be useful in understanding paradigm shifts ahead.

This paper presents an analysis of the global gas market, offering views on what the most relevant ‘unknown knowns’ of today look like, and hypotheses about some of the possible game-changing events that the market is likely to face in the short to medium term.

Paolo Natali, Paris School of International Affairs (PSIA), SciencesPo.

Related Publications

Browse through the list of related publications.

Multi-Layered Actions?

Sustaining Partnerships in the EU Integrated Approach to Conflicts and Crises

The Recovery and Resilience Facility

A springboard for a renaissance of public investments in Europe?

Limitations on Human Mobility in Response to COVID-19

A preliminary mapping and assessment of national and EU policy measures, their sanctioning frameworks, implementation tools and enforcement practices

Central bank digital currencies

Can central banks succeed in the marketplace for digital monies?

EU defence projects

Balancing Member States, money and management

Between politics and inconvenient evidence

Assessing the Renewed EU Action Plan against migrant smuggling