23 Jun 2011

Syria and Lebanon

Diverging paths of state unsustainability

Silvia Colombo

0
Download Publication

2097 Downloads

Any analysis of the prospects for stability and sustainability in the states of Syria and Lebanon reveals the strong ties between these two countries and the impact of external influences on their overall development. Their trajectories, while starkly divergent in terms of the challenges confronting them at present, ultimately converge on a path of long-term unsustainability.

Lebanon is in the midst of yet another transition phase, triggered by the collapse of Hariri’s government in January 2011. The current situation might be described as one of deteriorating status quo; the state is performing poorly in terms of its delivery of fundamental public services and its institutional legitimacy is tenuous in the face of emerging para-state structures and latent (occasionally active) violence.

In Syria, challenges to the sustainability of the state have evolved dramatically since the beginning of 2011, and are now nearing a tipping point. In view of the mounting unrest and violence in the country, the future prospects for its economic and political development are dim. More ominously, the risk of widespread conflict, with sectarian overtones, cannot be discounted.

Silvia Colombo is Junior Researcher and a specialist in Mediterranean and Middle East issues at the Istituto Affari Internazionali (IAI) in Roma.

Related Publications

Browse through the list of related publications.

A renewed EU approach for Jobs and Skills

Towards a Resilient and Sustainable Post-Pandemic Recovery Working Group Report of the New Industrial Strategy for Europe Task Force

Competition Policy and State Aid: Defining a sustainable path for Europe’s recovery

Towards a Resilient and Sustainable Post-Pandemic Recovery Working Group Report of the New Industrial Strategy for Europe Task Force

Healthcare and Pharmaceuticals

Towards a Resilient and Sustainable Post-Pandemic Recovery Working Group Report of the New Industrial Strategy for Europe Task Force

The Digital Transition

Towards a Resilient and Sustainable Post-Pandemic Recovery Working Group Report of the New Industrial Strategy for Europe Task Force

Strategic Value Chains

Towards a Resilient and Sustainable Post-Pandemic Recovery Working Group Report of the New Industrial Strategy for Europe Task Force

European Green Deal

Towards a Resilient and Sustainable Post-Pandemic Recovery Working Group Report of the New Industrial Strategy for Europe Task Force

Basel III Finalisation

The impact on EU banks and the real economy across scenarios

Managed Expectations

EU Member States’ Views on the Conference on the Future of Europe

Digital labour platforms in the EU

Mapping and business models