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Policy Contribution

Projections of Use and Supply of Long-Term Care in Europe: Policy Implications

by Joanna Geerts / Agnieszka Sowa / Erika Schultz / Esther Mot / Andreas Goltz / Jérôme Wittwer / Adelina Comas-Herrera / Derek King / Linda Pickard / Peter Willemé / Raquel Vegas
12 April 2012

Projections of Use and Supply of Long-Term Care in Europe: Policy Implications

Joanna Geerts / Agnieszka Sowa / Erika Schultz / Esther Mot / Andreas Goltz / Jérôme Wittwer / Adelina Comas-Herrera / Derek King / Linda Pickard / Peter Willemé / Raquel Vegas

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Projections of use and supply of formal and informal care carried out in Work Package 6 of the ANCIEN project show that if current patterns of care use and supply prevail, supply of care is likely to fall behind demand. This paper discusses the key policy implications of these findings. Meeting the required care capacity poses multifarious challenges for European welfare states, namely: how to limit the growing burden of LTC expenditure on social security or government budgets, especially in countries that rely heavily on formal care, and how to avoid an increased informal caregiver burden, while at the same time ensuring adequate care for disabled older persons. Technological advances could help close the care gap, by reducing the need for care and boosting the productivity of formal and informal care workers, or by lessening the need for care. As it is impossible to assess whether these efficiency gains will suffice to bridge the care gap, policies should anticipate an increasing care burden and plan accordingly for how to deal with its consequences.


About the Authors


  • Author
    Joanna Geerts
    Joanna Geerts
  • Author
    Agnieszka Sowa
    Agnieszka Sowa
  • Author
    Erika Schultz
    Erika Schultz
  • Author
    Esther Mot
    Esther Mot
  • Author
    Andreas Goltz
    Andreas Goltz
  • Author
    Jérôme Wittwer
    Jérôme Wittwer
  • Author
    Adelina Comas-Herrera
    Adelina Comas-Herrera
  • Author
    Derek King
    Derek King
  • Author
    Linda Pickard
    Linda Pickard
  • Author
    Peter Willemé
    Peter Willemé
  • Author
    Raquel Vegas
    Raquel Vegas
Projections of Use and Supply of Long-Term Care in Europe: Policy Implications
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1632 Downloads