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The EU Pact on Migration: A New Framework for Predicting and Anticipating ‘Crises’?

Migration, asylum and borders


The EU Pact on Migration: A New Framework for Predicting and Anticipating ‘Crises’?


Addressing and predicting situations framed as ‘migration crises’ is one of the priorities laid down in the EU Pact on Migration and Asylum. The recently adopted Migration Preparedness and Crisis Blueprint Recommendation aims at developing an early warning and forecasting system at the EU level, which is expected to enable enhanced preparedness and response to ‘migration situations’.

This ITFLOWS Project Webinar aims at examining the key features of the EU approach to ‘crisis anticipation and response’ based on the Pact’s proposals and the lessons learned on how the EU has addressed previously declared ‘crises’, such as the one during 2015/2016. The Webinar will focus on the state of play and broader implications of the EU crisis management model laid down in the Pact, especially in relation to proposal on a Crisis and Force Majeure Regulation

The Webinar will examine the potentials and methodological limitations of existing tools for predicting and visualising migration and asylum. Some of the key questions that will be addressed are: what qualifies as a ‘crisis’ and how is it assessed in the EU? What are the deficits characterizing existing maps and visualisations of immigration dynamics? What are the ethical and legal dilemmas raised by predictive approaches to anticipate ‘crises’ based on state-of-the-art literature


This project has received funding from the European Union’s Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under grant agreement No 882986 

Sergio Carrera Sergio Carrera
Sergio Carrera

Senior Research Fellow and Head of Justice and Home Affairs unit

Speakers list
Juan Fernando Lopez Aguilar

Member of the European Parliament, Chair of the LIBE Committee

Pawel Busiakiewicz

Head of Unit, European Commission, DG Home Affairs and migration

Ann Singleton

Reader in Migration Policy, University of Bristol

Henk van Houtum

Professor, Radboud University

Giuseppe Campesi

Associate Professor, University of Bari

Annaliese Baldaccini

Executive Officer Asylum and Migration, Amnesty International

Paola Maieli

Program Coordinator Migration Response, Italian Red Cross

Roberto Cortinovis (Moderator)

Researcher, CEPS